Here’s an ARTICLE you may find interesting.Read More
The information in this email is not to be taken as a recommendation to invest in any certain way. Ginger Szala wrote “6 Economic Predictions for Next 5 Years: Northern Trust”, Sept. 10, 2018 as a result of interviewing Bob Browne the Chief Investment Officer of Northern Trust.)
Northern Trust has been shifting assets back in to the U.S. because “they have more confidence in the short-term U.S. story than in the international one.” Browne thinks the U.S. equities will return about 6.5% total return in the short- term and expect equities to return closer to 6% over the next 5 years. He predicts high-yield bonds at 6.3% total return in the short-term and 4.9% over the next five years.
In contrast, he projects 8.3% total return for emerging markets over the next 5 years.
He sees no risk of recession in the next 5 years and expects only one more interest rate increase from the Fed in 2018 and one in 2019.
While this obviously just represents the opinion of one institution, I thought you might be interested in seeing the total return predictions.
Barbara A. Culver
CFP®, ChFC®, CLU, AEP®
One of the special skills of the Resonate team is working intergenerationally. We are grateful to be working with three generations of many of our clients and – in some cases – with the fourth generation as well.
Here are some of the insights we have learned from our client families:
Based on the continuing market volatility, I thought that you might find market perspectives from various economists and portfolio managers employed by the Capital Group to be encouraging.
(Many of you will recognize the name of the Capital Group’s subsidiary – The American Funds.) Founded in Los Angeles, California in 1931, the Capital Group ranks among the world’s oldest and largest investment management organizations. It has more than $1.7 trillion in assets under management and has offices around the globe in the Americas, Asia, Australia and Europe. (Source: Wikipedia) Robert Lind, the company’s European economist says, “There is mounting evidence that near-term momentum is building in the global economy and the cycle appears to be self-sustaining, particularly with respect to Europe. The synchronization of global growth has raised the possibility that the cycle can be stronger for longer.”Read More
Chances are you know there is a sea change going on in the retail industry. But you may not realize how far and how fast the online tide is rising. Singularity University founder Peter Diamandis invites you to recall the powerful retail networks created by Sears, J.C. Penney and Macy’s. Since 2006, the stock value of Sears has fallen from $14.3 billion to $300 million—a 98% drop.
Over the same time period, JCPenney’s stock value fell from $18.1 billion to $1.2 billion (-94%) and Macy’s, worth $24.2 billion in 2006, is now worth $9.3 billion (a 62% drop). Less dramatic but still significant price declines can be found at Kohl’s (-54%), Nordstrom (-28%), Best Buy (25%) and Target (-20%). Diamandis notes that in 2017, over 6,700 physical stores closed their doors.Read More
How many times have you heard someone say, “I only wish I could find a reliable plumber/electrician/handy person/mechanic/painter…”
With the incredible obsession for everyone to get a four-year college degree, the United States has lost the honor which once anchored the apprentice program in our country. In other words, we need people who are great at “building and fixing things.”Read More
To understand this blog, you need to know what “VIX” stands for. VIX is the ticker symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) volatility index, which shows the market’s expectation of 30- day volatility.
As you know, your Resonate team consistently works hard to continue to earn your confidence and your business. Based on recent market volatility, I have been reading even more extensively than usual. I found this article by Trent Houston, product strategist at Lord Abbett to be particularly informative.
I hope that you do as well.
At times like this, we are especially grateful for professional partnerships such as the one we offer clients through The Optimized Portfolio System (TOPS®).
In terms of recent market volatility, Click Here for the insights from Michael McClary, MBA – Chief Investment Officer and the TOPS® Portfolio Management Team at ValMark Securities, Inc.
I hope that this is helpful information to each of you.
As always, we are here to talk if you’d like.
Barbara A. Culver
CFP®, ChFC®, CLU, AEP®