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01Nov
Is the Bull Market Over?
Economy

Here’s an ARTICLE you may find interesting.

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03Oct
5 Year Economic Prediction from Northern Trust
Economy

The information in this email is not to be taken as a recommendation to invest in any certain way.  Ginger Szala wrote “6 Economic Predictions for Next 5 Years: Northern Trust”, Sept. 10, 2018 as a result of interviewing Bob Browne the Chief Investment Officer of Northern Trust.)

Northern Trust has been shifting assets back in to the U.S. because “they have more confidence in the short-term U.S. story than in the international one.”  Browne thinks the U.S. equities will return about 6.5% total return in the short- term and expect equities to return closer to 6% over the next 5 years.  He predicts high-yield bonds at 6.3% total return in the short-term and 4.9% over the next five years.

In contrast, he projects 8.3% total return for emerging markets over the next 5 years.

He sees no risk of recession in the next 5 years and expects only one more interest rate increase from the Fed in 2018 and one in 2019.

While this obviously just represents the opinion of one institution, I thought you might be interested in seeing the total return predictions.

Barbara A. Culver
CFP®, ChFC®, CLU, AEP®
Resonate, Inc.
(513) 605-2500

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07Aug
Should I Name Individuals or a Trust as the Beneficiary of My Qualified Retirement Plan/IRA?
Investing

As opposed to leaving money outright to an individual, many of you have asked us regarding whether you should designate a revocable living trust as a beneficiary of an IRA.

While this is a legal question as opposed to a financial planning question, I do want to offer reasons why people may choose one or the other beneficiary designations.  Please note that I am referencing an article called “Designating a Trust as an IRA Beneficiary” written by Brian Dobbis, Director, Retirement Solutions for Lord Abbett, May 11, 2018.

  1. Because qualified retirement plans and IRAs are typically not subject to probate because of the beneficiary designations, many individuals simply choose to leave these qualified assets to their heirs outright.  With proper use of the beneficiary designation, you do not need to use a trust to have a qualified asset bypass probate.
  2. The primary reason for naming a trust over an individual as the beneficiary of an IRA or qualified plan is to provide post-death control over the assets.  This means that the individual or individuals named as the beneficiary of the trust do not have total control over the asset.  Rather, the terms of the trust control the distribution of the asset and/or its earnings.

If you choose to use a trust as the beneficiary for qualified assets, here are a few key points for your consideration:

  • Confirm with your attorney that the trust qualifies as a “look-through” or “see-through” trust.
  • Talk with your tax advisor or estate attorney regarding the income tax implications of using a trust versus an individual as beneficiary.
  • Be sure that trust documentation is provided to the IRA custodian no later than October 31 of the year following the IRA owner’s death.

Please note that the trustee of the trust is responsible for overseeing and implementing the terms of the trust.  Therefore, another key decision has to do with who you choose to name as trustee.I hope this provides some helpful information for those of you who are considering changing beneficiaries for your existing retirement plans or IRAs as well as for those of you who are naming beneficiaries within the near future.

 

Barbara A. Culver
CFP®, ChFC®, CLU, AEP®
Resonate, Inc.
(513) 605-2500

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22Jun
Warren Buffett’s Investing Style
Investing

I found the this article to be on interest.  I hope you do to!
Barb

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05Apr
Keeping Volatility in Perspective
Economy

Based on the continuing market volatility, I thought that you might find market perspectives from various economists and portfolio managers employed by the Capital Group to be encouraging. 

(Many of you will recognize the name of the Capital Group’s subsidiary –  The American Funds.)  Founded in Los Angeles, California in 1931, the Capital Group ranks among the world’s oldest and largest investment management organizations.  It has more than $1.7 trillion in assets under management and has offices around the globe in the Americas, Asia, Australia and Europe.  (Source: Wikipedia)  Robert Lind, the company’s European economist says, “There is mounting evidence that near-term momentum is building in the global economy and the cycle appears to be self-sustaining, particularly with respect to Europe.  The synchronization of global growth has raised the possibility that the cycle can be stronger for longer.”

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20Feb
The Market is Not the Economy
Economy

To understand this blog, you need to know what “VIX” stands for. VIX is the ticker symbol for the Chicago Board Options Exchange (CBOE) volatility index, which shows the market’s expectation of 30- day volatility.

As you know, your Resonate team consistently works hard to continue to earn your confidence and your business. Based on recent market volatility, I have been reading even more extensively than usual. I found this article by Trent Houston, product strategist at Lord Abbett to be particularly informative.
I hope that you do as well.

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06Feb
Market Volatility
Economy

At times like this, we are especially grateful for professional partnerships such as the one we offer clients through The Optimized Portfolio System (TOPS®).

In terms of recent market volatility, Click Here for the insights from Michael McClary, MBA – Chief Investment Officer and the TOPS® Portfolio Management Team at ValMark Securities, Inc.

I hope that this is helpful information to each of you.

As always, we are here to talk if you’d like.

Barbara A. Culver
CFP®, ChFC®, CLU, AEP®
Resonate, Inc.
(513) 605-2500

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04Jan
How Long Can the Tech Rally Last?
Economy

Of course, no one can definitively answer this question.  Recently, the Wall Street Journal shared a very encouraging article on this topic.

Much of the tech. rally and the overall success of the economy is linked to the global technology sector. Names that continue to dominate the headlines are Apple Inc., International Business Machines Corporation, Microsoft Corporation, and Tencent Holdings Limited – the Chinese internet company.

Paul Markham, a global equities portfolio manager at Newton investment management, states: “The narrow nature of this rally has to be seen as something of a concern, but these are cash-generative companies who are being seen as the bedrock of the new economy.

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26Dec
Inflation Risk & Impact on Retirement Assets – Part 2 of 2
Economy

This is the second part of a two-part blog on inflation. May I encourage you to read Part One if you have not yet done so?

What is the Primary Risk of Inflation?

The primary risk in inflation is that you lose purchasing power over time.  Therefore, this is a topic we choose to emphasize and thoroughly explain to clients and their families.

Here are some examples I hope you will find interesting:

Year   What $1 buys                                          Money Supply*

1907     1 pair patent leather shoes                       $7 Billion

1913      1 Woman’s house dress                            $13 Billion

1930     16 Cans of Campbell’s Soup                    $46 Billion

1940     20 Bottles of Coca Cola                            $55 Billion

1960     2 Movie Tickets                                       $211 Billion

1987     1 Bottle Heinz Ketchup                             $1,560 Billion

2000    1 Wendy’s Hamburger                              $4,917 Billion

2010     1 Song on iTunes                                 $13,291 Billion

 

* the total amount of money in circulation or in existence in the U.S.

(Source: Jeff Desjardins Visual Capitalist 4-9-2017)

Retirement assets need to increase in value beyond inflation levels.  Those retirement assets need to last 18.8 years for a 65-year old male and 21.2 years for a 65-year old female.  (Source:superlike.com)

Of course, these are average life spans…. What does this mean for the person or couple who live into their 90’s?

Planning for longevity and the increased cost of health care is critical.  The assumptions made for inflation and portfolio return have a huge impact on planning outcomes.  If you do not yet have a retirement plan in place, please make it a priority.  The peace of mind and sense of security a plan provides is priceless.

Barbara A. Culver
CFP®, ChFC®, CLU, AEP®
Resonate, Inc.
(513) 605-2500

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15Dec
Inflation Ahead: Beware! – Part 1 of 2
Economy

One of the observations I have from creating projections for funding future goals such as college or retirement is that it is often very hard for clients to understand the impact of inflation. So, I decided to write a two-part blog about inflation. Part One covers the causes of/and multiple definitions for inflation. Part Two discusses the risk and impact of inflation, because we are living longer.

What causes inflation?

There are several possible answers.  The recent damage caused by Hurricanes Harvey and Irma and California wild fires results in higher prices because there is a temporary shortage of goods.  Therefore, prices are bid up as people compete to obtain what they need.  Fortunately, these situations are temporary.  Inflation is also caused when businesses purposefully restrict supply thereby artificially raising prices.  This happened in the 1970’s when OPEC agreed to limit oil production in an effort to increase oil prices.

The primary cause of inflation is an increase in the money supply.  You have probably heard the phrase, “Too much money chasing too few goods and services increases prices.”

What is the difference between inflation and the Consumer Price Index (CPI)?

The CPI is an index… or “a number used to measure change”.  It measures the change in prices paid by consumers for goods and services.  It reflects the spending patterns of urban wage earners, consumers and clerical workers.  Interestingly, the CPI does not include the spending habits of people living in rural (non-metropolitan) areas, people in the Armed Forces, and anyone incarcerated or a patient in a mental institution. (Source:InflationData.com)

Price Inflation (what we simply call inflation) is the “percentage increase in the price of the basket of goods and services over a specific period of time”.

The key to this definition is knowing what is in the “basket” that is being measured.

Interestingly, it is “all items less food and energy”.  This means the basket includes goods and services such as transportation, medical care, vehicles, clothing, and housing.

Barbara A. Culver
CFP®, ChFC®, CLU, AEP®
Resonate, Inc.
(513) 605-2500

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